The most important flat meeting of the season starts on Tuesday and it promises to be a cracking week of racing. With Group races galore over a variety of trips there is something for everyone, and there are a couple of high class handicaps thrown in for good measure too. A dry spell means that the ground will be quick so there will be no excuses on that front. Below are my thoughts on Day 1, with plenty of tasty prices to get stuck into.
|Ivan Furtado has a talented filly in the finale.
I am usually reluctant to tip up odds on favourites for any race, but sometimes the most obvious answer is the correct one. Ribchester looks rock solid in this Group 1 contest, but the bookies haven’t missed him and he is a best price of around 5/6 with a couple of firms. He is the first leg of a shorty accumulator that the bookies flagged up last week, and he should get his backers off to a flying start. However, the only worry would be the quick ground as he was beaten his only start on good to firm at Goodwood.
For this reason, I think it is prudent to have an each way interest in something at a bigger price, and American Patriot fits the bill. American raider Tepin took this contest last season, and Todd Pletcher will be looking to repeat the dose with American Patriot. He comes here after an impressive Grade 1 victory at Keeneland last time out (8f gd/fm), his first win at the highest level. This son of War Front will love the ground at Ascot, he is unbeaten over a mile and the booking of Frankie Dettori catches the eye. American Patriot could run big and he is the each way suggestion at odds of 25/1.
STEVOS’ SELECTION: AMERICAN PATRIOT E/W @ 25/1
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Some of the quickest horses on the planet will line up in the King’s Stand and it will be run at a furious pace. Last year’s spectacular Queen Mary winner Lady Aurelia is the market leader, and she will be bidding to become the first filly to triumph in this race since it was upgraded to Group 1 level. 3yos don’t have a great record in the race either, and I think Wesley Ward’s filly could be worth taking on with something at a bigger price.
I think last year’s winner Profitable looks a shade overpriced at 16/1 for Clive Cox and Godolphin. The ground was soft last season for his victory in this, but this fella has won on good to firm and he ran a blinder on quick ground behind some crack sprinters over 6f at Newmarket last season. He was beaten by Signs Of Blessing on his seasonal comeback but on quicker ground he could reverse that form. 5f is his trip, he is proven over c&d and he has likely been trained with this race in mind. At odds of 16/1 he represents each way value in an open looking renewal.
STEVOS’ SELECTION: PROFITABLE E/W @ 16/1
I have tipped one up for this for Mybettingbonus.co.uk and you can check out what I fancy by clicking here
This is another race I have covered for Mybettingbonus and you can check out my selection here
The final race of the day sees a maximum field of 24 runners going to post and finding the winner is far from an easy task. Declarationofpeace is just shading favouritism at 4/1 after an impressive win at Dundalk last time. This race is a different kettle of fish though, and at much bigger odds I reckon that Marchingontogether is well worth an each way bet for Ivan Furtado and Martin Harley. This daughter of Havana Gold made a big impression on me when winning her maiden at Leicester (5f gd/fm).
She was sent off an unconsidered 14/1 shot, but she won in the manner of a very smart filly and the 3rd and 4th home in that race have won since. The runner up is also highly rated by Michael Bell, so to win going away by over 2L was some feat. She was pushed along early in that 5f contest but she wasn’t stopping at the finish so 6f should suit her well in time. Qatar Bloodstock bought her immediately after that impressive win, and she could prove to be a shrewd purchase. At odds of 25/1 she is the each way selection in a race that has produced plenty of surprises down through the years.
STEVOS’ SELECTION: MARCHINGONTOGETHER E/W @ 25/1