Step Up In Trip To Suit Jennifer At Newbury
We were out of luck earlier this week with Germany John, and as soon as he didn’t go to the front early on I knew our goose was cooked. He has produced his best form under aggressive tactics, and it looks as though his run on Tuesday was just a day out. Tomorrow I like the look of a French raider at Newbury, and I think It’s Jennifer could be set for a big run stepped back up in trip in the 20.5f mares’ handicap hurdle at 15.00.
|Peter Carberry is a quality pilot.
This 5yo mare is by Martaline, and her Overbury dam produced her best form on decent ground, as have most of her relatives. It’s Jennifer’s only win so far in eight starts came on heavy ground at Auteuil (19.5f hvy) on her sole start beyond 18f, and she won that handicap quite easily by 5L. She hasn’t been suited by dropping back in trip in Listed company on her last two starts, and she is sure to appreciate the extra couple of furlongs at Newbury.
Louisa Carberry trains this mare in France, and she will be ridden by Peter Carberry. He is a highly talented jockey and he was riding for Nicky Henderson before he moved across the Channel. He has ridden It’s Jennifer on her last three starts and he was on board for her win at Auteuil. She won’t lack for assistance from the saddle, and he will drop her out early on and hopefully deliver her with a late challenge.
It is hard to weigh up whether this mare is well treated, and the ground is another unknown to worry about. When she was 2nd behind Golden Vision at Compiegne she had Nick Williams’ Culture De Sivola 4L behind, and those two horses are rated 124 and 117 respectively. That would suggest that a mark of 125 is steep, but I think there could be more to come from It’s Jennifer on her first run on decent ground and back up in trip. She can be backed at odds of 40/1 and at that sort of price she is worth chancing each way for small stakes.
STEVOS’ SELECTION: 15.00 NEWBURY-IT’S JENNIFER E/W @ 40/1
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